The Prescience of Caspar

The El Paso Times is reporting on a US military report warning of Mexico's possible sudden collapse due to "its politicians, police and judicial infrastructure are all under sustained assault and press by criminal gangs and drug cartels."

Interestingly in the early 1990s, I read a book by Caspar Weinberger that I never forgot. It was called The Next War and in it Weinberger outlined six possible scenarios where the US could be drawn into war. Surprisingly, one was Mexico.

...an American expeditionary force invades Mexico to topple a corrupt and recalcitrant drug-running regime in an attempt to stanch the flow of millions of refugees over the southern U. S. border.

The book is well worth a read and startling for its relative accuracy given the risky nature of predicting the future.