This is the largest project to come out of any class I have ever taught. It's almost a city block long, inside a new but unfinished urban space. Three students from my Installation Art class – David Fields, Chris Wright, and Will Young – used light, air, and many square yards of very thin plastic to create a phenomenal watery effect.
House Democrats not on this list are expected to vote yes. However, some members of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus who are not mentioned below have threatened to vote no unless the Senate's immigration-related provisions are changed.
All House Republicans are expected to vote no.
Firm No, Leaning No, Likely No (26)
John Adler (N.J.) (N) Waiting to see bill. Sounded like a no on Fox News, saying House and Senate bills fail to address cost containment
Michael Arcuri (N.Y.) (Y) Some reports have him as firm no, but Rules Committee member hasn't closed the door yet
John Barrow (Ga.) * (N) Voted no last year in committee and on floor. Likely no
Dan Boren (Okla.) * (N) Won't be changing his mind — firm no
Bobby Bright (Ala.) * (N) Voted against House health bill, stimulus and climate change. Firm no
Travis Childers (Miss.) * (N) In toss-up reelection race
Artur Davis (Ala.) * (N) Running for governor, but will make sure to return to D.C. to vote no
Lincoln Davis (Tenn.) * (N) Voted no first time, and most expect him to vote no again
Chet Edwards (Texas) (N) Perennial GOP target. Edwards spokesman told CNN he will vote no
Luis Gutierrez (Ill.) (Y) Citing immigration language, Gutierrez said on MSNBC that "I can't support this bill." Lawmaker has lambasted the president on not moving immigration reform yet. Warned that other Hispanic lawmakers will also vote no
Larry Kissell (N.C.) (N) GOP target, but reelection chances on the rise. Firm no
Frank Kratovil (Md.) (N) Voted for climate change; says he will vote no
Dennis Kucinich (Ohio) (N) Progressive was on the fence before House vote last fall — not this time. He's a firm no
Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (S.D.) (N) Congresswoman told the Rapid City Journal she's a no, noting she is not a fan of reconciliation
Tim Holden (Pa.) * (N) Voted against healthcare and climate change in 2009. Told The Republican Herald that he is a no, citing abortion and "signifcant" cuts to Medicare and Medicaid
Jim Marshall (Ga.) * (N) Perennial GOP target, but favored to win reelection. Told The Hill he's a no
Jim Matheson (Utah) * (N) President Obama this year tapped brother for post, but Matheson still a likely no
Mike McIntyre (N.C.) * (N) Seven-term lawmaker rejected House health bill and climate change. Spokesman tells The Hill McIntyre is a no. Expected to win reelection easily even though Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) won district
Mike McMahon (N.Y.) (N) Told the Staten Island Advance he's a no
Charlie Melancon (La.) * (N) Senate hopeful voted no in November and no in committee. Likely no
Walt Minnick (Idaho) (N) One of the House's most conservative members. Firm no
Collin Peterson (Minn.) * (N) Ag chairman not shy in bucking leadership. Firm no
Mike Ross (Ark.) * (N) Voted for bill in committee, but not since. Firm no
Ike Skelton (Mo.) * (N) GOP targeting his seat. Armed Services Committee chairman is a firm no
Gene Taylor (Miss.) * (N) Has been a firm no all Congress
Harry Teague (N.M.) * (N) Told The Hill that he will review bill to see if final bill brings costs down. If "we are in the same place — a no"
Firm Yes (2)
Dale Kildee (Mich.) * (Y) Not one of Stupak's dozen
Silvestre Reyes (Texas) * (Y) Intelligence panel chairman on board
Leaning Yes (3)
Russ Carnahan (Mo.) (Y) In competitive race this fall, but should win
Gerry Connolly (Va.) (Y) If he votes no, bill will not pass. Likely yes
Vic Snyder (Ark.) * (Y) Not seeking reelection. Snyder said on Fox News he is leaning yes
Undecided (78)
Jason Altmire (Pa.) * (N) Many view Altmire as key to passage. He said on Fox News he has "open mind." Voted no in committee and on floor, but bottom line is his yes vote is gettable
Joe Baca (Calif.) * (Y) Must-have for leadership
Brian Baird (Wash.) (N) Retiring member who bucked party on Iraq war surge
Melissa Bean (Ill.) (Y) Conservative Democrat well-positioned for midterm election
Marion Berry (Ark.) * (Y) Has been critical of the president since announcing his retirement
Sanford Bishop Jr. (Ga.) * (Y) Favors Stupak provision
Tim Bishop (N.Y.) (Y) Must-have vote for leadership. Bishop's office told CNN that the New York lawmaker wants major changes to Senate bill
John Boccieri (Ohio) * (N) GOP target
Rick Boucher (Va.) (N) GOP target
Allen Boyd (Fla.) (N) Facing primary challenge
Michael Capuano (Y) Wanted to be a senator, but doesn't trust the Senate. TPM reported that Capuano is leaning no. In an e-mail to supporters, Capuano said he has many problems with Senate measure
Dennis Cardoza (Calif.) * (Y) Secured language for district before last year's vote
Chris Carney (Pa.) * (Y) A "no" vote here would be a setback for leadership
Ben Chandler (Ky.) * (N) Keeps cards close to vest; voted no in November
Jim Cooper (Tenn) * (Y) Has had up-and-down relationship with Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.)
Jim Costa (Calif.) * (Y) Secured project for his district before November vote
Jerry Costello (Ill.) * (Y) Was a late yes in the fall
Joe Courtney (Conn.) (Y) Wary of excise tax, but likely yes
Henry Cuellar (Texas) * (Y) Supported health bill and climate change, surprising some on Capitol Hill
Kathy Dahlkemper (Pa.) * (Y) GOP target. Her yes vote is key to passage
Joe Donnelly (Ind.) * (Y) Among the Stupak dozen — will vote no unless abortion language in Senate bill is changed, according to The Rochester Sentinel
Mike Doyle (Pa.) * (Y) Must-have vote for leadership; not politically vulnerable
Steve Driehaus (Ohio) * (Y) In toss-up race in November
Bob Etheridge (N.C.) * (Y) Passed up Senate run
Brad Ellsworth (Ind.) * (Y) Senate hopeful
Bill Foster (Ill.) (Y) GOP target
Gabrielle Giffords (Ariz.) (Y) GOP target
Bart Gordon (Tenn.) * (N) Retiring committee chairman
Raul Grijalva (Ariz.) (Y) Despite many threats, Arizona liberal expected to vote yes
John Hall (N.Y.) (Y) Democratic leaders may lose other Dems from N.Y., but need to keep Hall on board
Debbie Halvorson (Ill.) (Y) Politically vulnerable, but favored to win her reelection race
Baron Hill (Ind.) * (Y) Passed up Senate run
Jim Himes (Conn.) (Y) Must-have vote for leadership. Likely yes
Steve Kagen (Wis.) (Y) Told Fox 11 in Wisconsin that he prefers more incremental approach; doesn't trust Senate
Paul Kanjorski (Pa.) * (Y) GOP target
Marcy Kaptur (Ohio) * (Y) Voted with leadership first time around, but doesn't toe the party line
Mary Jo Kilroy (Ohio) (Y) In toss-up race this November
Ron Kind (Wis.) (Y) Represents competitive district. Voted against bill in committee
Ann Kirkpatrick (Ariz.) (Y) GOP target
Ron Klein (Fla.) (Y) GOP target
Suzanne Kosmas (Fla.) (N) Easily won her race in 2008; her 2010 race will be tighter
Jim Langevin (R.I.) * (Y) Langevin's seat not in danger this fall. He has previously fended off primary challenges
Daniel Lipinski (Ill.) * (Y) Will not vote for abortion language in Senate bill, but has other concerns as well. Democratic leaders cannot count on Lipinski
Dan Maffei (N.Y.) (Y) Former Ways and Means aide is seen as gettable
Betsy Markey (Colo.) (N) Was a late no last time. In early March, Markey declined to be interviewed by Denver Post on her position on bill. Likely target for Democratic leaders
Jerry McNerney (Calif.) (Y) Waiting for final language. There are false reports of him being a firm no
Mike Michaud (Maine) * (Y) Likely yes
Harry Mitchell (Ariz.) (Y) GOP target
Alan Mollohan (W.Va.) * (Y) In November, seat was considered safe. Now, he's in a tight race
Dennis Moore (Kan.) (Y) Retiring this year
Chris Murphy (Conn.) (Y) GOP target
Scott Murphy (N.Y.) (N) Reelection race looks good, for now
Richard Neal (Mass.) * (Y) Better vote yes if he wants to take Ways and Means gavel; fan of Stupak language
Glenn Nye (Va.) In toss-up race
Jim Oberstar (Minn.) * (Y) Wants to vote yes, but also wants Stupak language
David Obey (Wis.) * (Y) Waiting to review bill language; likely yes
Solomon Ortiz (Texas) * (Y) Was a late yes last time around
Bill Owens (N.Y.) (Y) One of first votes in Congress was yes on House health bill; media reports have him as undecided
Tom Perriello (Va.) * (Y) In toss-up race this fall; Pelosi had long talk with the Virginia Democrat on March 10 on the House floor
Earl Pomeroy (N.D.) * (Y) Voted against bill in committee, and for it on the House floor
Nick Rahall (W.Va.) * (Y) Another panel chairman on the fence
Ciro Rodriguez (Texas) * (Y) Considered by Cook Political Report to "likely" retain seat
Tim Ryan (Ohio) * (Y) Opposes abortion rights; voted for Stupak language
John Salazar (Colo.) * (Y) GOP target
Loretta Sanchez (Calif.) (Y) Was a late yes in November
Mark Schauer (Mich.) (Y) In tossup race this fall
Carol Shea-Porter (N.H.) (Y) In toss-up race, according to Cook Political Report
Heath Shuler (N.C.) * (N) Doesn't hold his tongue when he opposes Democratic leaders. Critic of reconciliation
Zack Space (Ohio) * (Y) Voted yes in committee and yes on the floor last year
John Spratt (S.C.) * (Y) Budget Committee chairman is in competitive reelection race
Bart Stupak (Mich.) * (Y) More optimistic about brokering a deal on abortion with House leaders, but time is running out
Betty Sutton (Ohio) (Y) GOP target
John Tanner (Tenn.) * (N) House deputy whip not running for reelection, but he still will need to be convinced to get to yes. Voted no in committee and on floor
Dina Titus (Nev.) (Y) One of three female House Democrats to vote no last November. She also voted no at committee level
Paul Tonko (N.Y.) (Y) Waiting for Congressional Budget Office numbers
Charlie Wilson (Ohio) * (Y) Considered less vulnerable this fall than other Ohio Democrats
David Wu (Ore.) (Y) Was undecided for three hours during 2003 Medicare drug vote, then voted with the GOP
John Yarmuth (Ky.) (Y) Considered a team player. Likely yes
* -- Voted for Stupak amendment in November
(Y) -- Voted yes in November
(N) -- Voted no in November
Note: Berry, Donnelly, Driehaus, Lipinski and Stupak said they will vote against the bill unless the Stupak language is adopted. Stupak has said a dozen lawmakers who voted for the House measure could change their votes based on the abortion provisions.
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